This and that from re Thai r ment, by 3Th. 33 Cold Tits 0001 (March 20, 2012)

TODAY FROM AMERICA:

A. POOKIE’S ADVENTURES IN CALIFORNIA:

Much has happened over the past few days; too much to cover and still too unsettled for this post. I guess it would be safe to say that, “This and That…” appears to be coming to an end. What began with my departure from the United States to attempt to assume the care of a bewildered little boy seems to be becoming resolved with that same bewildered but now two and a half-year older little boy leaping into an unknown future. Should that be the case, it appears to me as good a place as any to end this record.

When I began “This and that…” almost two and one half years ago I thought of it as merely a travelogue and tales of my missteps and foibles as I settled into retirement in another country and culture. Something with which to amuse myself and a few friends and family.

Recently I have begun posting them into a blog and adding excerpts from my Diary and email exchanges with those of you who read them and chose to comment. Although I have entered a year or so of posts, I have completed entering everything, the posts, Diaries and comments, on only the first quarter of 2010. In rereading it, I find myself somewhat disturbed, because I, as I see them for the first time all together, am meeting someone I did not know. Someone who I think even less of than I did. The Posts recorded my somewhat self-centered and self-indulgent adventures intending to be slightly amusing and to some extent artificial. The Diary entries, reveal an even lesser person, perhaps even more self-indulgent and erratic. The exchanges of comments, show, in my opinion an insensitivity on my part that at times revolts me.

Much of modern art often called serious by some, whether by those who benefit from the artists production of by artists themselves in their eternal struggle to break from the past and garner success of their own, has become not too much more than the so-called artists infatuation with his or her own experiences, assuming therein exists novelty. Alas, there is no novelty only recognition. As a society that no longer needs to move from cocooned comfort and travel the world like Burton or Stanley for physical or mental adventure, we now look within and wonder if we are different, unique and find too often we are not. In fact, we are less, less unique and less interesting than we feared. Does that make us feel better? Perhaps it is a cultural thing, the descent of Western man (and it is definitely both western and men) from their Procrustean cross into their all too soon to be despoiled grave.

B. 2012 Predictions and March update:

War:

December Prediction: The Near East:The chaos in Iraq, Syria and Egypt will require Turkey, Iran, Israel and Saudi Arabia to act. International solutions will not succeed until Iran is neutralized. By the end of January, there may be a confrontation over the Straits of Hormuz. There currently is no reason for either Russia or China to join in any military action, so the US, Britain, Israel and a few other non-muslim nations will take the lead (with the tacit support of Turkey and Saudi Arabia). At about the same time, Turkey will probably move into Syria and northern Iraq to protect their interests. Iraq splits into three countries. These will be the first of the climate wars to begin in and around the desertifying areas of the globe. The Middle East: The war in Afghanistan winds down as the US and other interested parties realize what would be empire builders over the ages have learned, that there is nothing in Afghanistan worth fighting for and attention focuses where it should have been all along in Pakistan. Pakistan, declines into an anarchic failed state and economic basket case as the mujahideen elements of the military take over by years end.

March update: Near-east: Correct predictions: 1. Israel, Iran, Turkey and Saudi Arabia have begun to react. 2. Straights of Hormuz confrontation has occurred and died down mostly because of the American clever show of force. 3. Turkish troops have beer reported moving into Syria. Middle East: Correct prediction: Afghanistan war winds down, Pakistan problems increase. All the predictions remain on track.

New issue: Iranian nuclear program: Expect US (including almost all of the worlds nations including Russia and China) to try to resist Israel’s insistence on attacking Iran in response to Iran’s claim of a breakthrough in its nuclear program. Expect Russia and China to pressure Iran to return to bargaining table to further politically isolate Israel. Meanwhile, political pressure on Obama administration to support Israel will increase. Expect Obama to rally the international community, especially Turkey (who envisions an increased role in the near east now that its aspiration for acceptance into the EU has been stymied [For many reasons]). It is not very good politics for Israel to play sides in the American election. Increasing evidence of Obama’s potential victory will either compel them to accede to another round of futile negotiations or they will act precipitously and risk another indecisive military result. Expect Obama’s pro-Israel rhetoric to rise, for Bibi’s home consumption.

Since the above new issue was written a few weeks ago, Obama’s rhetoric has risen to the occasion and the recent joint announcement that Iran is not developing a nuclear weapon signifies Obama’s strategy seems to have worked on Israel. Probably Bibi came to his senses regarding his hope to use the US election to his advantage.

Academy Awards:

December prediction: I haven’t any idea.

March update: I still am not sure who won what.

Social:

December prediction: Living frugally will become in. Surplus funds that were invested in financial instruments will begin to be used to purchase tangible usable assets that can be owned free and clear and used. Although this will exacerbate the financial crisis, it can reduce some of its extreme social impacts. Most of those who considered themselves rich will be less so (but not as much as the poor and middle class, but they do not count) because intrinsic value of money and financial instruments are eroding. This erosion will not be reflected immediately by inflation as much as an absence or things to buy while the money is parked and interest is almost non-existent.

March update: While living frugally seems to becoming the norm. The increased purchase of personal assets have not yet become apparent. Many of those who considered themselves rich have become less so. The super-rich have regained much of their lost wealth. No-one else has done so. Nevertheless, expect some increase in inflation as the administration attempts to deal with public and private debt, having been denied most other tools by Republicans in Congress.

MOPEY JOE’S MEMORIES:

In process.

THE NAKED MOLE RAT CHRONICLES and JOEY’S MYSTERY NOVEL:

Perhaps this is where they should end. The Naked Mole Rats awakening to the breach in their secure tunnel universe are forced to confront their destiny as the “successors.” While Vince must confront the relativity of identity in a world that may have changed more than he can imagine. Then again maybe not.

PAPA JOES TALES AND FABLES:

See: http://papajoesfables.wordpress.com/

TODAY’S FACTOID:

PEPE’S POTPOURRI:

What “Occupy” is all about and what it really wants:

Shouldn’t we worry about this?

Or this?

POOKIE FOR PRESIDENT:

Please see the blog: http://papajoestales.wordpress.com/

“No man demands what he desires; each man demands what he fancies he can get. Soon people forget what the man really wanted first; and after a successful and vigorous political life, he forgets it himself. The whole is an extravagant riot of second bests, a pandemonium of pis-aller. Now this sort of pliability does not merely prevent any heroic consistency, it also prevents any really practical compromise. One can only find the middle distance between two points if the two points will stand still. We may make an arrangement between two litigants who cannot both get what they want; but not if they will not even tell us what they want.”
CHESTERSON

“Those who seek absolute power, even though they seek it to do what they regard as good, are simply demanding the right to enforce their own version of heaven on earth. And let me remind you, they are the very ones who always create the most hellish tyrannies.”
Barry Goldwater.

TODAY’S QUOTE:

“From our industry’s perspective, the footprints of climate change are around us and the trend of increasing damage to property and threat to lives is clear,”
Franklin Nutter, president of the Reinsurance Association of America.

If the insurance industry now believes climate change to be true, than I guess that means it must be. In fact, the whole climate change denial thing can probably be summed up in the leading climate change denier in the US Senate, Senator James Inhofe’s statement,

“I was actually on your side of this issue [climate change supporter] when I was chairing that committee and I first heard about this. I thought it must be true until I found out what it cost.”

Ah yes, as always, truth or falsity or whether we live or die is a question of cost.


TODAY’S CHART:

TODAY’S CARTOON:

TODAY’S PHOTOGRAPH:

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Categories: January 2012 through March 2012, Uncategorized | Tags: , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

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